Contingency, Catalysts, and International System Change
Richard Ned Lebow asserts there have been three transformations of the international system in the twentieth century. He conducts a counterfactual analysis of World War I--one such transformation--to show there is no necessary relationship between the number and the intensity of underlying causes and the probability of an event. The immediate causes of World War I--the double assassinations at Sarajevo--met a diverse set of political and psychological requirements without which Austrian and German leaders would not have taken the steps that led to war. Sarajevo indicates that there is a class of situations that require complex and highly specialized triggers whose appearance may be infrequent.
Choosing War: The Lost Chance for Peace and the Escalation of War in Vietnam, Fredrik Logevall Reviewed by Richard Ned Lebow
Roosevelt and the Munich Crisis: A Study of Political Decision-Making, Barbara Readen Farnham Reviewed by Richard Ned Lebow
Living with Peril: Eisenhower, Kennedy, and Nuclear Weapons, Andreas Wenger Reviewed by Richard Ned Lebow
The Cuban Missile Crisis: The Struggle over Policy, Roger Hilsman Reviewed by Richard Ned Lebowmore by this author
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THE PROLIFERATION OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS: EXTENDING THE U.S. UMBRELLA AND INCREASING CHANCES OF WAR
The Greater Good Gathering: Technology, Community, and the Greater Good
February 6–7, 2019
New York, NY
The Greater Good Gathering conference explored the future of public policy and how best to advance the greater good in the 21st century in light of technological innovation, economic disruption, ideological polarization, and governance challenges.MORE ABOUT THIS EVENT VIEW ALL EVENTS
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