How the Economy and Partisanship Shaped the 2012 Presidential and Congressional Elections
Gary C. Jacobson analyzes the 2012 presidential and congressional elections. He finds that Barack Obama won despite the weak economy because Democrat partisans outnumbered Republican in the highly polarized electorate and remained unusually loyal to their candidate. The relationship between presidential and House and Senate voting patterns was extraordinarily strong, making it the most partisan, nationalized, and president-centered election in at least 60 years.
Extreme Referendum: Donald Trump and the 2018 Midterm Elections, Gary C. Jacobson
Obama and Nationalized Electoral Politics in the 2014 Midterm , Gary C. Jacobsonmore by this author
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PERSPECTIVES ON PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS, 1992–2020
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