The Journal of Public and International Affairs
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pp. 1-38
How the Economy and Partisanship Shaped the 2012 Presidential and Congressional Elections
Gary C. Jacobson analyzes the 2012 presidential and congressional elections. He finds that Barack Obama won despite the weak economy because Democrat partisans outnumbered Republican in the highly polarized electorate and remained unusually loyal to their candidate. The relationship between presidential and House and Senate voting patterns was extraordinarily strong, making it the most partisan, nationalized, and president-centered election in at least 60 years.
The Dimensions, Origins, and Consequences of Belief in Donald Trump’s Big Lie, Gary C. Jacobson
The 2022 Elections: A Test of Democracy’s Resilience and the Referendum Theory of Midterms, Gary C. Jacobson
The Presidential and Congressional Elections of 2020: A National Referendum on the Trump Presidency, Gary C. Jacobson
Extreme Referendum: Donald Trump and the 2018 Midterm Elections, Gary C. Jacobson
The Triumph of Polarized Partisanship in 2016: Donald Trump’s Improbable Victory, Gary C. Jacobson
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