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The 2022 Elections: A Test of Democracy’s Resilience and the Referendum Theory of Midterms
Gary C. Jacobson discusses the 2022 midterm elections. He examines why Democrats lost far fewer House seats than standard referendum models predicted given high inflation and Joe Biden’s low approval ratings. He argues that Donald Trump’s meddling and the Court’s Dobbs decision reframed the vote choice in ways that energized Democrats, hardened partisan attitudes, and minimized defections even among those with negative opinions of Biden’s performance.
The Dimensions, Origins, and Consequences of Belief in Donald Trump’s Big Lie, Gary C. Jacobson
The Presidential and Congressional Elections of 2020: A National Referendum on the Trump Presidency, Gary C. Jacobson
Extreme Referendum: Donald Trump and the 2018 Midterm Elections, Gary C. Jacobson
The Triumph of Polarized Partisanship in 2016: Donald Trump’s Improbable Victory, Gary C. Jacobson
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America at a Crossroads: The 2024 Presidential Election and Its Global Impact
April 24, 2024
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